Solana Price Analysis: What’s Keeping SOL Below $200?

Solana price analysis shows a three-day rally from $127 to $147, registering a 16.6% growth. This bullish turnaround coincides with the broader market uptick following the 0.5% rate cut decision by the US Fed. Will the general sentiment be enough to push SOL above $200, or will sellers counterattack for another dump?

Solana Price Analysis: Why SOL Remains Trapped Below $200

The Solana price analysis shows a sideways trend below the $200 psychological level for over six months now. This consolidation displayed three failures by SOL buyers to surpass the overhead barrier, indicating an intense supply zone. Here are four reasons why this altcoin struggles to build sufficient momentum for a $200 breakout.

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Low Probability of Solana ETF Approval Dampens Market Hopes
Solana Meme Coin Boom Boosts Network Activity
Development Activity Decline Threatens Bullish Prospects
Solana Price Analysis: Key Support Levels Under Pressure

Low Probability of Solana ETF Approval Dampens Market Hopes

According to data from Polymarket, the odds of a Solana ETF being approved in 2024 have plummeted to just 3%. Following the success of Bitcoin and Ethereum spot ETFs, Solana was considered the next-best candidate for a U.S.-based crypto ETF. The potential approval would give institutions’ investment better access to this asset and drive higher demand for SOL coins. However, as the SEC continues to resist greenlighting new ETFs, the Solana price analysis could struggle to rally above $200.

Polymarket

Solana Meme Coin Boom Boosts Network Activity

The SOL blockchain witnessed a notable surge in network activity and revenue during the past meme cycle. According to Dune Analytics data, the Solana Meme coin generator Pump Fun has accumulated $107,354,482 in total revenue by the press time. The declining interest in the meme cryptocurrency sector has significantly impacted network progress, and therefore, the revival is crucial to triggering a bull run.

Development Activity Decline Threatens Bullish Prospects

Since August 2024, Solana’s development activity has recorded a notable decline to reach a current sitting of 159. Development activity is a key metric that reflects the level of innovation and improvements on the network. The chart below from Santiment may reflect stalled developer activity and reduced blockchain engagement, negatively impacting the SOL price prediction.

SOL Development Activity | Santiment

Solana Price Analysis: Key Support Levels Under Pressure

The Solana price analysis from veteran trader Peter Brandt highlights the $129 as a crucial support zone amid the current consolidation pattern. If the support breaks, the selling pressure could accelerate and plunge the SOL price to $80 support.

Observation about $SOL
In an area of support. If support gives way, then large rectangle will complete and point toward $80 and change pic.twitter.com/66L6We7ewZ

— Peter Brandt (@PeterLBrandt) September 18, 2024

Thus, the potential out of a rectangle pattern could significantly impact the Solana price prediction for a $200 breakout.

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