Kalshi Better at Predicting FOMC Rate Decisions, US CPI Than Fed Funds Futures: FED Research
A Federal Reserve Board study focused on the accuracy of prediction markets’ data for macroeconomic forecasts found that Kalshi is more accurate than Fed funds futures and economist surveys. Kalshi has perfectly predicted every FOMC rate decision since 2022 and beats Bloomberg on US CPI inflation data. Federal Reserve Study Finds Kashi Data Better Than
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