May 4, 2025

Kentucky Derby weather updates: Forecast leading up to race

The 2025 Kentucky Derby is just hours away. The race features 19 horses competing for the coveted garland of roses. However, the weather may pose a challenge for those planning to attend the event.

Although the Kentucky Derby is famous for its extravagant hats and sophisticated outfits, attendees might want to consider choosing more waterproof attire this year. Churchill Downs is expecting rain or thunderstorms on Saturday, with cooler temperatures and a high of 66 degrees in the forecast. Thunderstorms are likely in the afternoon but should clear out by the time the race begins at 7:02 p.m. ET, though rain could continue to fall.

The 151st Kentucky Derby is set to proceed as scheduled, rain or shine. As we approach race time, it’s crucial to stay updated on the forecast. Here’s the latest information:

What is the weather forecast for the 2025 Kentucky Derby?

Below is the forecast for Saturday’s 151st run of the Kentucky Derby, per the National Weather Service:

‘Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. High near 65. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts between three quarters and one inch possible.’

Kentucky Derby hourly forecast

Here’s an hour-by-hour breakdown of Saturday’s weather for the Kentucky Derby:

  • 8 a.m.: 81% chance of rain
  • 9 a.m.: 95% chance of rain
  • 10 a.m.: 92% chance of rain
  • 11 a.m.: 96% chance of rain
  • Noon: 100% chance of rain
  • 1 p.m.: 98% chance of rain
  • 2 p.m.: 99% chance of rain
  • 3 p.m.: 86% chance of rain
  • 4 p.m.: 64% chance of rain
  • 5 p.m.: 39% chance of rain
  • 6 p.m.: 40% chance of rain
  • 7 p.m.: 52% chance of rain
  • 8 p.m.: 68% chance of rain

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