Crypto Market Braces For US Job Data Amid ‘Uptober’ Rally Anticipation

The crypto market enters a crucial week, with anticipation soaring over the upcoming US Job data. This data, especially after the softer US PCE inflation figures last week, would aid investors in assessing the market trends for the fourth quarter. In addition, the traders would also keep an eye on the Fed officials’ comments amid growing expectations over a potential “Uptober” rally.

Crypto Market Eyes US Job Data This Week

The broader financial sector, let alone the crypto market, is eagerly waiting for the upcoming US Job data next week. Notably, the Labor Department is scheduled to release the US nonfarm payroll, unemployment rate, and Hourly wages data for September on Friday, October 4.

This set of data would provide key insights into the current labor market trend. Notably, the labor market is one of the crucial areas that the US Federal Reserve considers while deciding its policy rates.

According to Wall Street estimates, the US nonfarm payroll data is expected to come in at 144,000, up from the prior month’s reading of 142,000. On the other hand, the unemployment rate is anticipated to remain unchanged at 4.2% for September.

It’s worth noting that last week’s US PCE data showed that inflation has cooled to 2.2%, down from the market expectations of 2.3%. This has bolstered market optimism over a continued dovish stance by the US Federal Reserve at their upcoming meetings this year.

Fed Officials’ Comments To Shape Market Sentiment

A flurry of US Fed officials are scheduled to speak this week, which would be closely watched by the crypto market investors. For instance, the week will start with Fed Governor Michelle Bowman and Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s remarks on Monday, September 30.

Following that, Fed bank governor Lisa Cook is scheduled to speak on Tuesday. In addition, Minneapolis Fed President and Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic will have a discussion on Thursday, October 4. Notably, the comments from the central bank officials are likely to shape the market sentiment, especially after the recent US Fed’s 50 bps rate cut decision at their last meeting.

Crypto Market To Maintain Its “Uptober” Rally?

The recent softer US PCE inflation data has raised bets over a 50 bps rate cut again at the Fed’s November meeting, according to the CME FedWatch Tool. This has also sparked discussions if crypto sector can maintain its “Uptober” momentum this year.

Source: CME FedWatch Tool

For context, historical data indicates that October usually tends to be a positive month for Bitcoin and top altcoins. In addition, the market also showcases a positive momentum in the final quarter of the year.

Meanwhile, this year, the upcoming US election in November is also expected to bolster the market sentiment. Taking all these into account, several market pundits are optimistic over a “Uptober” as well as a Q4 rally for the broader market in 2024.

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